If you’ve been waiting for that “feel-good” moment to buy, you might be surprised to hear that you’re already standing in it. Southern Georgian Bay, including Wasaga Beach, Collingwood, Midland, Tiny Township, and nearby communities are sitting at a rare point in the cycle. Prices have settled, inventory is high, interest rates are expected to ease, and buyer activity is quietly picking up again.It’s like walking along the shoreline just before the tide rolls back in. The stillness can fool you. but the shift has already started.
• Sales volume jumped 22.82%
• Unit sales climbed nearly 19%More buyers are stepping in quietly, and historically in Georgian Bay, once sales volume starts rising, prices follow.
Expired listings dropped by 55%.
Homes are actually selling. not sitting. That’s a sign of improving confidence and healthier pricing.
You finally have breathing room. Less competition. more inventory. and prices that are still at the most approachable levels we’ve seen since before the pandemic rush.For retirees or downsizers:
This is your chance to secure the lifestyle you’ve been planning. whether that’s a calmer pace in Wasaga Beach, a walkable lifestyle in Collingwood, or a quieter setting near Tiny’s beaches.
• Softer prices
• Stronger sales
• High inventory
• Fewer expired listings
• Expected rate reliefThe tide is starting to turn. And when it goes, it goes quickly. Buyers who move now set themselves up to win when the recovery takes hold.
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Pricing Has Softened at the Perfect Time
Local market data shows the median sale price slipped 0.7% year over year to $705,000, which means homes remain more affordable than they’ve been in several years. Even though the average sale price ticked up 3.43%, this increase reflects renewed interest in mid-range properties rather than a full market rebound.For first-time buyers and retirees, this combination matters. You’re shopping at the bottom of the price curve before the upswing.Sales Are Picking Up. A Classic Early Signal of a Turning Market
October tells a story that smart buyers pay attention to.• Sales volume jumped 22.82%
• Unit sales climbed nearly 19%More buyers are stepping in quietly, and historically in Georgian Bay, once sales volume starts rising, prices follow.
Inventory Is Generous. But It’s Moving
October brought 644 new listings, up 19% from last year. That means choice. space. and time to make decisions.But here’s the part that gets overlooked.Expired listings dropped by 55%.
Homes are actually selling. not sitting. That’s a sign of improving confidence and healthier pricing.
Interest Rates Are Expected to Ease Soon
No prediction is ever guaranteed, but many Canadian economists expect interest rates to trend downward. Even a small drop boosts affordability. Most buyers wait until the announcement. but by then, prices typically start climbing again.Source: Bank of CanadaWhy This Window Matters for You
For first-time buyers:You finally have breathing room. Less competition. more inventory. and prices that are still at the most approachable levels we’ve seen since before the pandemic rush.For retirees or downsizers:
This is your chance to secure the lifestyle you’ve been planning. whether that’s a calmer pace in Wasaga Beach, a walkable lifestyle in Collingwood, or a quieter setting near Tiny’s beaches.
The Bottom Line
Markets don’t ring a bell at the bottom. Instead, they look exactly like this.• Softer prices
• Stronger sales
• High inventory
• Fewer expired listings
• Expected rate reliefThe tide is starting to turn. And when it goes, it goes quickly. Buyers who move now set themselves up to win when the recovery takes hold.
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Southern Georgian Bay housing trends, affordable homes Georgian Bay, buyers market Ontario real estate, Wasaga Beach REALTOR®, Collingwood homes for sale, Georgian Bay investment properties, Ontario real estate forecast, Kristina Tardif Real Estate Group, trusted Georgian Bay real estate team.
